Daily Capital

Q1 2019 Market Commentary: Review & Outlook

Personal Capital’s Chief Investment Officer, Craig Birk, breaks down the major events in the financial markets in Q1 of 2019. These are excerpts from our full Q1 2019 Market Review & Commentary Report.

Global Stocks Rebound in Q1 After Q4 Correction

Global stocks rebounded following a significant correction in the fourth quarter of 2018. U.S. equities were up 14%, while international stocks gained 10.4%. Bonds also rallied. The correction last year was fueled by three primary fears: trade war, rising interest rates/ yield curve inversion, and slowing earnings growth. So far this year, each of those fears has regressed. Significant progress has been made toward a trade agreement with China, the Fed changed course and no longer expects to raise rates in 2019, and earnings results have been “good enough.”

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U.S. Economy Continues Slow, But Steady Growth

The current economic expansion has been longer than most, but also characterized by slower average growth.

Ten years deep into a bull market feels to us to be the wrong time to be greedy. That said, we don’t see any compelling reason to believe the U.S. economy can’t continue to expand at a steady pace or anything suggesting that the short-term outlook for stocks carries more risk than normal.

Lyft, Other Impending IPOs Hit Headlines

Funding raised from IPOs is expected to approach or surpass $100 billion in 2019, a level last seen just before the dot-com crash. Some view this as a sign that the party in stocks (and especially the tech sector) is nearing an end. We’re not worried about it. The current shape of the yield curve is functionally flat, not inverted. A few basis points either way does not drive meaningful economic decisions.

Personal Capital Milestones

Personal Capital passed $9 billion of assets under management. A big part of our growth comes from client referrals. Thank you to all of our clients for making this possible.

We’re also excited to announce that Porter Gale, former CMO at Virgin America, has joined our executive team as Chief Marketing Officer.

Download the Full Q1 2019 Market Review & Commentary

The content contained in this blog post is intended for general informational purposes only and is not meant to constitute legal, tax, accounting or investment advice. You should consult a qualified legal or tax professional regarding your specific situation. Keep in mind that investing involves risk. The value of your investment will fluctuate over time and you may gain or lose money.

Any reference to the advisory services refers to Personal Capital Advisors Corporation, a subsidiary of Personal Capital. Personal Capital Advisors Corporation is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training nor does it imply endorsement by the SEC.

Craig Birk leads the Personal Capital Advisors Investment Committee and serves as Chief Investment Officer. His focus is translating improvements in technology into better financial lives. Craig has been widely quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, CNN Money, the Washington Post and elsewhere. Prior to Personal Capital Advisors, he was a leader within the portfolio management team at Fisher Investments, helping assets under management grow from $1.5 billion to over $40 billion. Craig graduated from the University of California at San Diego and has earned the Certified Financial Planner® designation.

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