Weekly Market Digest — Week Ending 9/2

in Market Commentary by

[dropcap]S[/dropcap]tocks rallied in the first half of the week and fell in the second half, finishing the week about where they started. Information about the health of the US economy seemed to be the main driver. The first half of the week featured positive news on housing prices, while Friday’s large sell-off (S&P 500 down 2.5%) followed a disappointing jobs report showing American employers added almost no jobs in August.

Treasuries were up sharply for the week, primarily due to the jobs report pointing toward continued slow economic growth. The 10 year Treasury yield fell back near historic lows of 2%.

Major Events:

Monday – Greek stocks, and the global stock market, rally on news that the two largest Greek banks (Alpha Bank and Eurobank) will merge.

Friday – US jobs report disappoints.

Our Take:

It was unfortunate to be welcomed into Labor Day weekend with an awful jobs report. The week was a microcosm of the longer trend of ping-ponging between good and bad signs for the US economy. This report had an opportunity to generate some bullish momentum but clearly did not. We still expect the US will avoid recession, but at this point it is clear that 2011 will not be remembered as a good one for the US or global economy.

Stocks are already pricing very low economic growth, so there could be considerable upside in equities in the coming months, but this week was a good reminder of why it makes sense to have some balance in portfolios.

 

The following two tabs change content below.
Craig Birk, CFP®

Craig Birk, CFP®

Craig Birk is a member of the Personal Capital Advisors Investment Committee. He also serves as Vice President of Portfolio Management. Prior to Personal Capital Advisors, he was an integral leader within the portfolio management team at Fisher Investments. During Craig’s time there, the company increased assets under management from $1.5 billion under management to over $40 billion. His responsibilities included risk management, portfolio implementation oversight, and management of all securities and capital markets research analysts. Mr. Birk graduated from the University of California at San Diego and has earned the Certified Financial Planner® designation.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Disclaimer. This communication and all data are for informational purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell securities. You should not rely on this information as the primary basis of your investment, financial, or tax planning decisions. You should consult your legal or tax professional regarding your specific situation. Third party data is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, PCAC cannot guarantee that data's currency, accuracy, timeliness, completeness or fitness for any particular purpose. Certain sections of this commentary may contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimate, projections and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Past performance is not a guarantee of future return, nor is it necessarily indicative of future performance. Keep in mind investing involves risk. The value of your investment will fluctuate over time and you may gain or lose money.